Аннотация.

Одним из инструментов решения плохо формализуемых задач является экспертиза, при этом основным источником информации являются специалисты – эксперты. Проведение экспертизы для анализа и реформирования слабо формализованных систем (в основном, – социально-экономических и организационных) имеет ряд особенностей, затрудняющих использование классических методов экспертизы. Работа посвящена описанию нового класса методов экспертизы – коллективной многовариантной экспертизы, а также специфики их применения при решении прикладных задач.

Ключевые слова:

коллективная многовариантная экспертиза (КМВЭ), экспертные комиссии, условная компетентность экспертов, процедура перекрёстной экспертизы, независимая многовариантная экспертиза (НМВЭ), итерационная оценка компетентности эксперта, методы коллективной экспертизы при решении прикладных задач.

Стр. 53-68.

A.A. Dorofeyuk, M.D. Goldovskaya, N.E. Kiseleva, I.V. Pokrovskaya, A.G. Spiro, A.L. Chernyavsky
"The collective multivariate expertise procedures in the analysis and improvement of socio-economic control systems problems"

Abstract. One of the tools for solving ill-formalizable problems is the expertise, in this case the experts are the main sources of information. Expertise for analysis and reform of weakly formalized systems (mainly social-economic and organizational) has a number of features that impede the use of classical expertise methods. The paper is devoted to the description of a new expertise methods class – the collective multivariate expertise, as well as the specifics of their use in the applied problems solution.

Keywords: collective multivariate expertise (CMVA), expert commission, conditional experts competence, cross-examination procedure, independent multivariate expertise (IMVE), iterative expert's competence estimation, collective expertise methods in the applied problems solution.

Полная версия статьи в формате pdf. 

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